20
April 2004 1. "Kurds cast wary eye southward",
Though distant onlookers, Kurds worry about the implications of the
violence for them and for their compatriots.
2. "The Case for Partitioning Iraq", The most commonly espoused partition plan calls for a three-way partition of the state formerly known as Iraq, a "Kurdistan" in the north, a "Shiastan" in the south, and a "Sunnistan" in between. 3. "What does France want?", Barnier on the one hand said that the EU shouldnt turn its back to Turkey, but on the other hand stated that Turkey, under todays circumstances, cant join the EU. 4. "Turkey, Cyprus: Army warns of serious problems", The Turkish army has refused to take sides on a UN peace plan to reunify Cyprus, but warned last week there might be serious problems in implementing such a peace deal. 5. "EU regrets Greek Cypriot media snub ahead of key vote on peace deal", The European Commission expressed regret Monday that two Greek Cypriot television stations had declined to let EU enlargement commissioner Guenter Verheugen appear ahead of crucial referendums this week. 6. "Veteran Cyprus warrior faces final fight", In the 1950s Rauf Denktash founded TMT - a Turkish Cypriot paramilitary organisation committed to partitioning Cyprus and consolidating ties with Turkey. 1. - KurdishMedia - "Kurds cast wary eye southward": They watch the violence elsewhere in Iraq and debate its impact
on their lives. The Institute for War & Peace Reporting (IWPR) - By Sarhang Hama Ali The people of Kurdistan daily watch the burning vehicles, clouds
of smoke and attendant violence in Iraq as would people in Manchester
or New York - via television screens. Businessmen, who often rely on obtaining products from outside of
Kurdistan, are concerned about the possible implications for their
businesses. 2.
- Tech Central Station - "The Case for Partitioning Iraq": The most commonly espoused partition plan calls for a three-way partition of the state formerly known as Iraq, a "Kurdistan" in the north, a "Shiastan" in the south, and a "Sunnistan" in between. This article proposes something different. Neither the American-led coalition, nor even the larger international community should determine the borders of a set of Iraqi successor states. The people of Iraq should be the ones to decide where partition lines are drawn. The people of Iraq should be the ones to decide if partition lines need to be drawn at all. Here is the plan. Sovereignty will not come to Iraq all at once. On June 30, Iraq will be divided into provinces, or occupation zones -- at different times and different places, both labels will be appropriate. There will be more than three zones, there will be at least 25, maybe as many as 100. Each zone will evolve towards civil government at its own rate. Some zones will need to be overseen using the rules of outright military occupation of a hostile nation. Other zones will be able to quickly establish full home rule, complete civil government in all matters except foreign policy and military affairs. Over six months, let's see how many zones can produce a local government that can rule without slaughtering a significant percentage of its own population, or stoning women for committing adultery, or burning the foreign nationals providing electricity and water. Zones demonstrating the ability to live peacefully will be migrated towards full home rule. When enough provinces reach complete home rule, they will have important decisions to make. If enough zones decided to band together, they can form a state of their own. (There will have to be a few basic rules about a minimum number of provinces, or a minimum total population, and/or territorial contiguousness required to form a state.) They are free to welcome into their state other provinces that reach full home rule at a future time. Multi-province successor states may even reserve the right to join with other multi-province successor states. Under this plan, the Iraqi people ultimately decide the shape of post-Hussein Iraq. Partition by Popular Sovereignty This plan -- partition by popular sovereignty -- corrects the American-led coalition's error of trying to impose democracy from the top down. Democracy is more than just an institutional and procedural framework -- the framework is a means to an end. People band themselves together into states to do things they cannot do alone. They agree to make individual sacrifices so that the group, as a whole, will be better off. Democracy helps insure that the actions undertaken in the name of the group do not abuse the individual too much. Are the people of post-Hussein Iraq ready and willing to band themselves together in this manner? Is an Iraqi Kurd willing to sacrifice some of his or her autonomy to help an Iraqi Sunni build reasonable civil structures? If an outside threat were to come from the direction of Iran, will an Iraqi Shiite defend the life and liberty of fellow Iraqi Kurds and Sunnis, or join the cause of the Iranian invaders? I do not know the answer to these questions, and I do not think that anyone really does. I do know that fast-forwarding to the assumption of one-state-at-any-price has stifled addressing these questions, both inside and outside of Iraq. If the would-be leaders of Iraq -- Sunni, Shiite, and Kurd -- are not making a convincing case about what the average Iraqi gets from a single state, other than the argument of "that's the way it's been for the last eighty years", then who is anyone outside of Iraq to demand that they be forced to live together? If Ayatollah Sistani cannot make a convincing case why the Shiite regions of Iraq should be linked to the Sunni and Kurdish regions -- what all sides get from the deal -- then why should they be linked? And if the Iraqi people of a place like Fallujah would rather kill Americans than work on building civil government, need anyone take their demands for control of civil government seriously? But why should their actions hold up the Kurds from governing themselves if they show themselves ready to run a civil, stable state? The people of post-Hussein Iraq should be given maximum flexibility to ask these questions, and to make the best arrangements they can after they hear the answers. Without knowing how much of the Iraqi population is really willing to place loyalty to all of the people of Iraq above ethnic, tribal, or clan loyalty, neither the American-led coalition nor the wider international community should force individuals into a dangerously unstable governmental arrangement. The dialogue, unfortunately, does not seem to be happening. The ironclad guarantee that there will be a single Iraq makes violent obstructionism an effective alternative to dialogue, hampering this necessary debate. Those with limited ability to persuade but great will to harm believe they can violently rout their opponents and prevail. In the one-state-at-any-price scenario, they may be correct. In the one-state-at-any-price scenario, they do not need to win, they just need to be the strongest faction standing amidst the chaos they create. To thwart the Machiavellian efficiency of this strategy, the outside world must make it clear that there will be no winner by default. If there is no broad agreement on how to form a single Iraqi state, there will be no single Iraqi state. Partition via popular sovereignty provides the peaceful, silent majority an option for responding to violent and radical factions who do not want to see an Iraq governed for the benefit of all Iraqis. The short-term benefits that come from the local establishment of civil order are efficiently leveraged into a long-term advantage. Peaceful Iraqis can band together to protect themselves against radical militias and then freely, openly, and legitimately seek allies outside of Iraq who will help them grow. They can erect their own formal defenses against areas dominated by leaders who seek control rather than compromise. Leaders of the future Iraq -- or its successor states -- who cannot count on having a state handed to them must work towards persuasive unification as least as hard as they work towards violent domination. Covering Popular Sovereignty Now, perhaps the above description places too much blame on the contemporary Iraqi leadership. Perhaps the voices of Iraqi leaders who honestly seek to unify are drowned out by the violence of the extremists. One advantage of partition by popular sovereignty is its ability to amplify the voices of the unifiers. To date, the American level of international civic and media engagement has not been up to the task of garnering relevant information about whether viable democratic leaders are emerging in Iraq. The American public has experienced the international version of basing decisions about municipal government solely on the reports of four-alarm fires and muggings and shootings that are reported during the local eleven o'clock news. In local politics, however, we have direct contact with the good that the city does, even if the news reports only the bad. With respect to Iraq, remote in space, with primary information in a language that most Americans do not understand, there is very limited contact with the good. The public is almost entirely dependent on either major media or government reports, and both of these sources have failed to provide the American public with a coherent narrative. The American public, ultimately in control of the American military, ultimately charged with making some weighty decisions about whether to stay or go, is unable to get reliable information about whether there is reasonable hope for a peaceful future. Announcing a plan of partition by popular sovereignty would immediately change this. The story of Iraq would no longer be one of strange foreigners living in chaos punctuated by mass outbreaks of violence. The story of Iraq would become a horse race story -- a narrative structure ideally suited to American media coverage. On the nightly news and during State Department and Pentagon briefings, presenters would show a big colored map of Iraq, showing provinces with full home rule in blue, provinces mired in military occupation in red, and a few pastels for the provinces in between. Questions now nebulous would become more concrete. Is progress towards civil democracy being made? Compare the map now to the map a year ago. Are more regions moving towards full home rule? We must be doing some good in those regions. Are the regions in full home rule -- or conversely, the regions stuck in military occupation -- all in one particular region? Maybe those regions need to be broken away. Ultimately, the American public gets a better information structure to help its decision-making. The "sophisticated" international community will, of course, howl at the suggestion of partition by popular sovereignty. The international community prefers that international borders stay static, regardless of the consequences. Perhaps the "sophisticated" international community prefers the one-state-at-any-price option because it allows potential future conflicts -- conflicts all too tragically foreseeable -- to be defined as internal matters. As the "sophisticated" international community has shown time and time again, even the most brutal organized violence can be ignored, so long as it is an internal matter. Ten years after Rwanda, the international community should be "sophisticated" enough to offer the people of Iraq something more than a promise that they will not be victims of ethnic violence unless it is violence perpetrated by legal residents of their home state. Unless they freely choose to do so, people with wildly different visions of ideal governance should not be forced to work together because of eighty-year old map lines hastily drawn by colonial interlopers. The American coalition and the wider international community should give the people of Iraq an opportunity to build civil societies under the conditions where there is a fighting chance for success. A single state solution is not necessary for a peaceful and prosperous future for the people of post-Hussein Iraq. Democratic processes provide no guarantee that the people of Iraq will avoid bad choices, but they can be structured so that the poor choices of some do not scar the futures of all. 3. - Miliyet - "What does France want?": by Sami Kohen / 20 April Every fresh news report or statement from France is confusing. What is Frances view on Turkeys European Union membership now? Is there any change in Paris support? The statement of new French Foreign Minister Michel Barnier made Frances official stance clearer, but failed to dispel doubts. Barnier on the one hand said that the EU shouldnt turn its back to Turkey, but on the other hand stated that Turkey, under todays circumstances, cant join the EU. We have to consider the following elements in evaluating Frances
current stance: Giving Ankara a date for EU accession talks and Turkeys
EU membership are two different issues. French officials, including
Barnier, havent said anything against giving a date for Turkeys
accession talks. Turning to the issue of membership, Barnier and many other French officials dont expect Turkeys EU membership under todays conditions or are against such a decision. However, the process beginning with the accession talks with an eye to membership will be quite long (this process was 10 years for Spain and Portugal and seven for Greece). Why does Barnier then insist on saying that Turkey cant become an EU member under todays circumstances? There are domestic political concerns at this point. The Turkish question is on the agenda of this Junes European Parliament elections. Extreme left- and right-wing parties are against Turkeys EU membership. There are various reasons for this: Some are anxious about the membership of a Muslim country like Turkey, and some are worried about Turkeys huge population shaking Europes stability Consequently, the right wing in France doesnt favor Turkeys EU membership and is pressuring the government, which is center-right. But Chirac prefers to shy from these disputes and not to talk before the June elections Turkey should take a nuanced policy at this point. France is an important
country both for its position in the EU and its relations with Ankara. 4. - Monday Morning (Lebanon, weekly) - "Turkey, Cyprus: Army warns of serious problems": 19 April 2004 The Turkish army has refused to take sides on a UN peace plan to
reunify Cyprus, but warned last week there might be serious
problems in implementing such a peace deal. 5. - AFP - "EU regrets Greek Cypriot media snub ahead of key vote on peace deal": 19 April 2004 The European Commission expressed regret Monday that two Greek Cypriot television stations had declined to let EU enlargement commissioner Guenter Verheugen appear ahead of crucial referendums this week. The EU executive arm called the decisions "odd", saying that Brussels simply wanted to explain its position ahead of the April 24 votes among Greek and Turkish Cypriots on a UN plan to reunify the divided Mediterranean island. "We are told that this is an interference in the public debate in Cyprus," said Verheugen's spokesman Jean-Christophe Filori, but "our intention is not all to influence in any way, or to campaign. Our intention is to explain. "We were told that this is not possible, so we found it quite odd. Of course (this is a) situation that we regret." The EU commission did not name the two offending broadcasters but Greek Cypriot officials identified them as the state-controlled Cyprus Broadcasting Corporation (CyBC) and Greek-owned private broadcaster Antenna. Both denied the commission's charge that they had deliberately snubbed Verheugen. "There was never an official proposal to CyBC for such an interview," the state broadcaster said. "We always carry Verheugen statements in full. On this occasion we were not informed in a timely enough fashion to rearrange programmes," said a statement from Antenna. It was the second time that a foreign official had been excluded from the air waves amid growing resentment among Greek Cypriots at the huge international pressure for them to say "yes" to the UN peace plan. On Friday, UN Cyprus envoy Alvaro de Soto was reportedly told by the state broadcaster that he was no longer welcome to take part in a discussion programme to be aired this week. Government spokesman Kypros Chrysostomides distanced the Greek Cypriot leadership from that decision, saying any move to exclude foreign dignitaries from speaking out in the run-up to Saturday's vote was a matter for the CyBC board. Monday's statement from the state broadcaster made no explicit reference to air time for overseas officials, saying only that it would "give absolute priority to informing the public on the basic issues related to the referendum." US Secretary of State Colin Powell did appear on two Greek Cypriot channels -- Antenna and private rival MEGA -- to urge a "yes" vote over the weekend. Opinion polls have suggested that the UN plan may well be rejected by Greek Cypriots -- although one recent survey showed opposition falling from 71 percent to 54 percent -- after President Tassos Papadopoulos came out against it. The EU is watching the referendums closely. If either community rejects the peace plan brokered by UN chief Kofi Annan, the internationally recognized Greek Cypriot side alone will be admitted to the European Union on May 1. The commission spokesman stressed that the EU did not want to interfere in the internal affairs of Cyprus, but added that that did not mean EU or UN officials should not be heard. "It is clear that the Cyprus voters will be the only ones to vote. But there are implications for others here," Filori said. "The possibility should be left maybe also to the representatives of the EU and the UN to explain the implications of the Annan plan." The government-appointed EU harmonisation coordinator, Takis Hadjidemetriou, resigned Monday, slamming the Greek Cypriot leadership's opposition to the blueprint. Cyprus has been divided since 1974 when Turkey occupied its northern third in response to a Greek Cypriot coup aimed at uniting the island with Greece. 6. - BBC - "Veteran Cyprus warrior faces final fight": Nicosia / 20 April 2004 / By Tabitha Morgan Rauf Denktash may be about to see his lifelong ambition fulfilled.
Paramilitary leader His courtroom adversary - more often than not - was Glafcos Clerides,
later to become president of the Cyprus Republic. Stubborn His political stature amongst the Turkish Cypriot community was enhanced
in 1974, when Turkish troops invaded the North of the island in response
to a Greek-backed military coup. Generals cautious The veteran politician continues to enjoy considerable popular support
in Turkey, particularly in Anatolia. |